Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.032517 0.035444 0.038381 0.041544 0.044847 0.048190 0.051822
2026-02-08 0.027630 0.031964 0.036449 0.041416 0.046739 0.052254 0.058379
2026-02-15 0.024813 0.030252 0.036032 0.042582 0.049748 0.057307 0.065838
2026-02-22 0.022430 0.028715 0.035559 0.043474 0.052287 0.061721 0.072508
2026-03-01 0.020224 0.027143 0.034853 0.043936 0.054208 0.065347 0.078227
2026-03-08 0.018224 0.025619 0.034044 0.044143 0.055726 0.068432 0.083267
2026-03-15 0.016958 0.024838 0.033991 0.045122 0.058040 0.072343 0.089171
2026-03-22 0.014941 0.022994 0.032565 0.044402 0.058321 0.073891 0.092366
2026-03-29 0.013655 0.021958 0.032022 0.044646 0.059653 0.076581 0.096803
2026-04-05 0.012699 0.021265 0.031837 0.045267 0.061382 0.079691 0.101689
2026-04-12 0.011750 0.020512 0.031524 0.045687 0.062839 0.082459 0.106161
2026-04-19 0.010034 0.018614 0.029681 0.044163 0.061920 0.082420 0.107363
2026-04-26 0.008865 0.017405 0.028686 0.043672 0.062246 0.083858 0.110313
2026-05-03 0.007926 0.016454 0.027978 0.043505 0.062941 0.085716 0.113744
2026-05-10 0.007567 0.016325 0.028342 0.044688 0.065278 0.089515 0.119447
2026-05-17 0.007141 0.016061 0.028505 0.045596 0.067270 0.092900 0.124663
2026-05-24 0.006600 0.015580 0.028344 0.046067 0.068705 0.095611 0.129082
2026-05-31 0.006020 0.014991 0.028002 0.046278 0.069799 0.097900 0.132994
2026-06-07 0.005731 0.014849 0.028272 0.047282 0.071880 0.101374 0.138308
2026-06-14 0.004954 0.013829 0.027251 0.046543 0.071738 0.102142 0.140393
2026-06-21 0.004518 0.013353 0.026987 0.046793 0.072835 0.104403 0.144247
2026-06-28 0.004217 0.013089 0.027018 0.047430 0.074416 0.107246 0.148793
2026-07-05 0.003886 0.012743 0.026907 0.047861 0.075725 0.109751 0.152930